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There’s a lot going on in the world, and one group of traders stands to benefit. From JPMorgan to Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs to Citigroup, executives highlighted their macro trading businesses, the units that help clients bet on moves in interest rates and in the foreign-exchange market the financial instruments most sensitive to shifting political winds and economic uncertainty. There are suddenly lots of triggers for moves in those markets. Here’s a selection of notable comments: “If you look at what’s going on in the markets, a lot of activity. There’s movement in currencies, in rates, in oil, and in equities. It’s a rare time when there’s a lot in motion. I think it’s a market that honestly screams for you to have a view, and with that comes activity,” James Gorman, Morgan Stanley CEO, said in an interview with CNBC in Davos, Switzerland. “Our macro businesses benefited from increased volumes in rates and repositioning in FX as the markets re-priced the path for US monetary and fiscal policy following the election,” Jonathan Pruzan, Morgan Stanley CFO, said on an earnings call. “As the world gets a little growth here, and as rates get raised and as people anticipate further raising of interest rates, those markets, of course, become a lot more interesting,” Lloyd Blankfein, Goldman Sachs CEO, said in an interview with CNBC in Davos. “What we saw from clients in the second half of the year was basically a build of confidence and expectation that we might see stronger fiscal policy, divergence of interest rates, that we weren’t heading into a deflationary cycle, more confidence about economic growth, and so I would say there was increased optimism around the world,” Harvey Schwartz, Goldman Sachs CFO, said on an earnings call.
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